Each member’s basic contribution is calculated by determining their relative risk compared to other members of CNST. Each member’s risk is measured in terms of the number, the clinical specialty and the grade of Whole Time Equivalent (WTE) staff that they employ and the number of babies they deliver.
To set the 2010/11 contributions the aggregate claims data that the NHSLA hold was analysed alongside the number of WTEs employed by each member at 30th September 2008 and the number of registered births in 2008/09.
This provides a way of measuring how risky different clinical specialties are. The primary measure that we consider for each specialty is the value of claims per WTE. However, obstetric risk is estimated by considering the value of claims per birth rather than the number of obstetric WTEs (ie obstetricians and midwives) since the number of births is a better indicator of risk.
Each clinical specialty is allocated into one of thirteen risk groups. The groups are:
• Nursing and other,
• Ambulance,
• Low Risk,
• Psychiatry/Mental Health,
• Anaesthetics,
• Medium Risk,
• High Risk,
• General Surgery,
• Neurology,
• Accident & Emergency,
• Trauma & Orthopaedics;
• Neurosurgery, and
• Obstetrics.
Some of these risk groups contain several clinical specialties where the relative riskiness per WTE is similar. Others cover only one specialty. The specialties that have their own risk group are either high risk groups or special in some other way. For example, owing to the large proportion of doctors working in psychiatry (over 1 in 10 doctors in the NHS work in psychiatry), they have their own category.
Having allocated the specialties into these groups, the value of claims per WTE for the risk group as a whole is then assessed. This is used to determine a relative risk weighting for that risk group. For example, a WTE in the medium risk group is assumed to have twice the risk of a WTE in the psychiatry risk group.
There is also differentiation between nurse specialists and qualified doctors. Nurse specialists are allocated into the appropriate risk group but they are only assigned a small fraction of the risk that is assigned to a fully qualified doctor in that risk group.
The number of WTEs employed by each member in each risk group (or the number of births for obstetrics) is then multiplied by the relative risk weighting for that risk group to produce a total risk value for each member.
The global contribution is then allocated among the members in proportion to their total risk value.
The analysis to determine the risk weight of each clinical specialty is updated each year so that emerging trends can be incorporated. As planned, we have increased the number of risk categories in recent years in order to assess the clinical risk of each member more accurately.